Service Plays Tuesday 08/11/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, AUGUST 11

NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (68-45) at San Francisco (61-51)

The Dodgers hand the ball to southpaw Randy Wolf (5-6, 3.61 ERA) as they continue their three-game series at AT&T Park against the Giants, who will counter with rookie Joe Martinez (2-0, 5.87).

Los Angeles put the brakes on just its second three-game losing skid of the season with Monday’s 4-2 victory. Still, the Dodgers are just 6-11 in their last 17 games (4-4 on the road) and they’re on additional plunges of 1-4 against right-handed starters and 3-10 in the second game of a series. On the positive end, Joe Torre’s club is on runs of 47-19 in N.L. West action and 9-2 on Tuesday.

San Francisco has dropped two in a row and three of its last four, all at home. Still, the Giants are on surges of 37-18 at home, 10-4 versus left-handed starters, 7-1 at home against lefties, 4-2 as an underdog and 5-1 on Tuesday.

The Dodgers are 6-4 against the Giants this season, but they’re only 3-6 in their last nine in San Francisco since 2008.

Wolf has made 24 starts this year, yet has just 11 decisions, the latest no-decision coming Thursday at home against Atlanta. In that contest, Wolf was in line for a loss after surrendering four runs on nine hits in seven innings, but the Dodgers turned a 4-2 defeat into a 5-4 win courtesy of Andre Ethier’s walk-off three-run homer in the bottom of the ninth. It was the second straight time that Wolf gave up four runs and nine hits, a mini slump that follows a stretch of six consecutive quality starts.

L.A. is 4-1 in Wolf’s last five Tuesday outings, 9-3 in his last 12 as a favorite and 5-2 in his last seven against N.L. West rivals, but it has dropped four of his last five starts on the road. In fact,

Wolf is only 4-4 despite a stellar 3.04 ERA in 12 road contests, with the Dodgers going 5-7. Wolf faced the Giants in San Francisco on April 27 and gave up three unearned runs in six innings, with the Dodgers falling 5-4. He’s 6-4 with a 3.44 ERA in 14 career starts against the Giants.

Martinez earned a 10-6 victory in his first career start on Wednesday at Houston, giving up three runs in five innings. It was his first appearance since April 9 when the right-hander suffered multiple skull fractures after being struck in the head by a line drive in a home game against Milwaukee. In two relief appearances at home (both versus the Brewers), Martinez gave up two runs on four hits in 2 2/3 innings (6.75 ERA), but he did earn a victory on April 7.

The Dodgers have stayed under the total in five of their last six on the road, but the over is 6-3 in their last nine overall and 5-2 in their last seven against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, the under is 20-9-3 in the Giants’ last 32 N.L. West contests, 8-3 in their last 10 at home and 4-1 in their last five versus southpaw starters. However, the over is 11-4-1 in San Francisco’s last 16 games as a home underdog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Tampa Bay (61-51) at L.A. Angels (66-44)

Rookie David Price (5-4, 4.91 ERA) goes after his third straight win when he leads the Rays against Ervin Santana (4-6, 7.20) and the Angels in the middle game of a three-game set at Angel Stadium.

Los Angeles got two home runs from Vladimir Guerrero – his 399th and 400th of his career – and held off Tampa Bay in an 8-7 slugfest on Monday. The Angels are on sizzling runs of 37-15 overall, 10-4 at home, 6-0 against A.L. East squads, 13-3 as an underdog, 23-7 as a home pup and 57-28 against southpaw starters. Additionally, Mike Scioscia’s club has dominated Tampa over the years, winning 51 of the last 75 meetings overall while going 27-5 in the last 32 matchups in California.

Tampa Bay is now 1-3 on its current road trip, a funk that follows a 6-2 run (all at home). The Rays continue to play sub-.500 ball on the road (25-33), and they’re 12-28 in their last 40 as a road chalk, but on the bright side, they’ve won five straight games on Tuesday.

Price led Tampa Bay to Wednesday’s 6-4 home win over Boston, giving up two runs on six hits with five strikeouts and no walks in six innings. Tampa has won four of Price’s last five starts, including the last three in a row, with the lefty allowing just three runs on 11 hits and two walks in his last two outings covering 13 innings. However, Price has been a disaster on the road this year, going 0-3 with an 8.20 ERA in six starts.

The Rays are just 1-4 when Price faces A.L. West opponents, but the victory came on June 11 over the Angels in Tampa Bay. Price lasted just 4 1/3 innings, yielding a run on two hits and a whopping six walks, but the Rays rolled to an 11-1 win.

Santana had one of his better outings of the season on Thursday at the White Sox. Despite allowing four runs on five hits and five walks, he struck out seven and earned a 9-5 road win. The Angels are 4-1 in Santana’s last five trips to the mound, even though in the last four, the right-hander has given up 20 runs (all earned) in 21 2/3 innings. On top of that, he’s 0-4 with a 12.38 ERA in six home starts in 2009.

With Santana pitching, the Angels are on runs of 6-1 as an underdog and 5-1 as a home pup, but they’re 1-4 in his last five at Angel Stadium and 1-5 in his last six against the A.L. East. Additionally, the Halos are 1-5 in Santana’s last six starts versus the Rays, including that 11-1 defeat on June 11 when Santana yielded six runs in 4 2/3 innings. For his career, he’s 3-4 with a 6.04 ERA in nine starts against Tampa Bay, but 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in two home games.

L.A. is on a slew of “over” runs, including 39-14-3 overall, 23-7-1 at home, 8-2 as an underdog, 5-0-1 on Tuesday, 6-0 against the A.L. East and 13-4-1 versus winning teams. Also, with Santana pitching, the “over” is on streaks of 4-0 overall, 5-2-1 at home and 16-7-2 as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Rays carry “over” trends of 5-0 overall, 5-1 on the highway, 6-0 versus the A.L. West and 5-2-1 when Price goes off as a favorite. Finally, the last three meetings between these clubs this season have topped the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Tigers Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Diamondbacks. The surplus is 810 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 11, 2009

Hondo, who was feeling almost as smart as a wise Latina after Sunday's sweep, felt foolish last night when the Rays flopped in Anaheim to raise the debt to 415 sotos.

Tonight, he'll reload with Roy Harvey Oswalt in Miami -- 10 units on the Astros.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
56-29 run on Bonus Plays

TUES Chi White Sox

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans 3 picks for today...

Tuesday night trifecta ...
300♦ N.Y. YANKEES (LIST Chamberlain over Richmond) - The Yankees are the hottest team in baseball, they entered this series on a 31-10 run and quite frankly, I don’t know if the Jays stand a chance in this entire series. In sending Joba Chamberlain to the hill, the Yanks now begin with the same foursome that swept the Red Sox over the weekend. And Chamberlain is going to be out to avenge a so-so start against the Red Sox, who worked him for a 108 pitches over five innings. Of course he earned the victory thanks to the now infamous eight-run fourth inning that arguably sparked the sweep of the Sox.

Chamberlain allowed four runs on six hits to Boston while walking a season-high seven as he appeared to be too strong for his own good, pitch off of extra rest. Now, on four days rest, he should be just right in making an attempt at his fifth consecutive win. The power right-hander, who hasn’t lost since June 18, has that extremely quick arm and comes straight over the top with the two- and four-seam fastballs that range from about 92 miles per hour and 97.

Since the All-Star break he is 4-0 with a 2.02 ERA in four starts, and he’s getting it done by keeping hitters off balance with that quick, late-biting slider that has tremendous depth, plus his tightly spun curveball.

He’ll get plenty of run support, as Toronto’s Scott Richmond toes the slab for the first time since July 31, which was his first outing after a month-long stint on the disabled list with a sore right arm. In that return outing, against the A's, the 29-year-old rookie allowed six runs - four of them earned - on seven hits over just three innings. This isn’t exactly the best spot to come back either, as the red-hot Yankees will be looking to pound the ball. Lay the run line here.

300♦ TWINS (LIST Blackburn over Davies) - While Nick Blackburn is 0-2 in his last three starts, all of which the Twins have lost, it’s hard to ignore the fact Kansas City starter Kyle Davies has a sky-high 14.29 ERA in his last three starts. It goes deeper than that, which I’ll get to in a minute, but the fact is he’s been horrible for the Royals and the Twins will take full advantage of the mismatch today.

Okay, so what exactly am I talking about when I say it goes deeper, well, Davies is 1-7 in his last eight starts. And while that stretches back to June because the right-hander spent some time at Triple-A Omaha, his return to the Royals wasn’t exactly what they hoped for. He lasted just 3-2/3 innings and allowed a season-high eight runs on eight hits. So while he was 4-2 with a 2.14 ERA in eight starts with Omaha, his season in the bigs has been a disaster.

Davies is a flyball pitcher and that’s never a good thing inside the Homer Domer. All it will take is an early-inning surge by the Twins, because it’s no secret Davies doesn’t trust his stuff at times and will tend to run up his pitch counts.

Nah, I’m going to put my faith in the right-handed Blackburn, who made huge strides in the right direction after opening the second half with three sub-par outings in Oakland, in Anaheim and at home against the Angels. He had given up 17 earned runs in his previous three starts, which spanned 15-1/3 innings.

Fast track to last Thursday, against the Indians, Blackburn looked as if he regained the dominating form he displayed in the first half, tossing 6-1/3 innings, giving up two runs on seven hits and striking out two. He should have plenty of confidence in this one, as Blackburn is 1-1 with a stifling 2.25 ERA in three career starts against Kansas City.

Love the Twins tonight, as they continue their drive in the Wild Card race and quite possibly the AL Central Division.

300♦ ROCKIES (LIST Cook) - The Pirates hit the road for the first time since July 29, and have to start the trip in Denver, where the Rockies have declared war in the National League with fellow West Division member San Francisco for the Wild Card lead. And while the Giants are hosting NL-leading Los Angeles, the Rockies will see this as an opportunity to gain some ground.

The Pirates have lost eight straight – a skid that began with two losses to lowly Washington – and again, all of these losses came at home. Now they take on Aaron Cook, who left his last start - a 3-1 loss to the Phillies - after five innings and 73 pitches with a hyperextended right big toe. In that contest, Cook faced off against the Phillies' Cliff Lee, but threw two bad pitches that proved to be the difference. Fact is this will be a game the right-hander will be looking to dominate, while avenging that last outing.

Confidence should abound at Coors Field, where Cook is 4-1 with a 4.35 ERA. Keep in mind, he’s a strike thrower, and he pounds the zone with a heavy sinker that ranges in the mid 90s. He’s talented enough to command it to both sides of the plate, and when you’re taking on a lethargic offense like this one, you tend to dominate by toying with hitters and setting them up easily. His curve is a decent out pitch, he has a solid change and the best thing about a guy like this, especially at Coors, is he keeps the ball in the park. Lay the run line tonight, as I love the Rockies to destroy Pittsburgh.


Paid for and confirmed by me..Good Luck! :toast:



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[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Texas at Cleveland

The Rangers look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 6-16 in its last 22 home games against teams with a winning record. Texas is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 11

Game 901-902: Houston at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.434; Florida (Volstad) 15.049
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under
Game 903-904: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 16.767; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.937
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+180); Over
Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Happ) 13.379; Cubs (Harden) 15.104
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 907-908: San Diego at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 15.080; Milwaukee (Looper) 14.086
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under
Game 909-910: Cincinnati at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Lehr) 14.833; St. Louis (Boggs) 15.544
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under
Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 13.082; Colorado (Chacin) 16.054
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 3; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 913-914: NY Mets at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 15.813; Arizona (Scherzer) 14.493
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-205); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+185); Under
Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 13.951; San Francisco (Martinez) 15.524
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under
Game 917-918: Texas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Nippert) 17.478; Cleveland (Laffey) 15.758
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105); Over
Game 919-920: Oakland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.231; Baltimore (Hernandez) 13.712
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+150); Over
Game 921-922: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Richmond) 15.687; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 16.766
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-220); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-220); Under
Game 923-924: Detroit at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 15.788; Boston (Tazawa) 14.011
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Under
Game 925-926: Kansas City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 13.903; Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.734
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-205); Over
Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.910; LA Angels (Santana) 15.518
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Over
Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 16.087; Seattle (Fister) 14.169
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Under




WNBA Basketball Picks

Sacramento at San Antonio

The Silver Stars look to take advantage of a Sacramento team that is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against the Western Conference. San Antonio is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 11

Game 601-602: Detroit at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.162; Washington 110.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 141 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3 1/2); Under
Game 603-604: Sacramento at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 104.962; San Antonio 113.431
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 150 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 152
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7); Under
Game 605-606: New York at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.333; Los Angeles 111.856
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 132
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 5; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5); Under

 

[khouston66]

axium sports

August 11th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,697.52

Pick #4- England-Carling Cup Soccer
4)Bet 101.96 to win 96.18 on Crystal Palace/Torquay United UNDER 2.5 -106

Pick #5-MLB
5a)Bet 23.14 to win 21.62 on Oakland/Baltimore OVER 9.5 -107

5b)Bet 214.17 to win 200.11 on Oakland/Baltimore OER 9.5 -107

Pick #6-MLB-
6aa)Bet 23.42 to win 24.12 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
6ab)Bet 48.59 to win 50.05 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103

6ba)Bet 23.16 to win 23.86 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
6bb)Bet 449.76 to win 463.25 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103

 

[Yanks]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

SD/ Milw Under

Marlins

 

[Yanks]

Cappers Access

Orioles(RL)

W. Sox(RL)

 

[Yanks]

Alfred Kelley

$1,000 bet of the day!!!

NEW YORK YANKEES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS

TAKE NEW YORK YANKEES ON THE MONEYLINE

 

[Yanks]

Lance's Lock

Overall record: 826-712-31

Current streak: 2 losses

Todays play: The Rays -115

 

[stanz]

SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Tuesday:

0-2 last night, 10-5 their last 15

FLORIDA -115 (with Volstad) over Houston 7:10 p.m. ET
OVER 9.5 RUNS Texas at Cleveland 7:05 p.m. ET
TAMPA BAY -115 (with Price) over LA Angels 10:05 p.m. ET

 

[str8flush95]

Fastball - Best Bets

ATL over WAS

SD over MIL

COL over PIT

ARI over NYM

MIN over KC

 

[Yanks]

MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY

MLB Package

Rays -110 (4 Units)
Red Sox/Tigers Over 10 (2 Units)

 

[proba0007]

ron raymond

oakland - baltimore over 9,5

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Tuesday

Monday Recap -That's much more like it.

Todays Play(s) - Today we're going back to MLB for 2 games that have real
mismatch potential......Baltimore and Minnesota. For Baltimore, Hernandez has been
fairly consistent and on the other side Cahill has been Oaklands worst starter.
As for Minnesota, they are hosting the worst road team in MLB over the past
few months.....Time for the man to pay us back! We're going to split our bets
with the money and runlines to minimize our risk and maximize our payouts.
Both are double plays


MLB - Baltimore Orioles -180[LISTED] Cahill / Hernandez 900.00 / 500.00
MLB - Baltimore Orioles - 1.5 (+115) Cahill / Hernandez 500.00 / 575.00
MLB - Minnesota Twins -200[LISTED] Davies / Blackburn 1000.00 / 500.00
MLB - Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-110) Davies / Blackburn 550.00 / 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (28-19) +609

 

[Mr.Maxx]

Robert Ferringo's Picks For Major League Baseball

<!-- These pick(s) are valid from Tue, Aug 11th @ 10:30am through Tue, Aug 11th @ 11:59pm. -->


<table calss="Text" width="100%" border="1" bordercolor="#c00000" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr><td> 2-Unit Play. Take #915 L.A. Dodgers (-135) over San Francisco (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

2-Unit Play. Take #926 Minnesota (-1.5, -110) over Kansas City (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

2-Unit Play. Take #908 Milwaukee (-135) over San Diego (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #922 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -140) over Toronto (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #929 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Seattle (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #904 Atlanta (-1.5, +115) over Washington (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #912 Colorado (-1.5, +100) over Pittsburgh (8:40 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #910 St. Louis (-150) over Cincinnati (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #917 Texas (+110) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

Writeups to follow.


Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Houston at Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Detroit at Boston (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Toronto at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Tampa Bay at L.A. Angels (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 11)
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Yanks]

Ben Burns

Personal Favorite

Cleveland Indians

 

[Yanks]

Ron Raymond

Oakland-Baltimore Over 9.5